By Gordin & Christiano
Red – John Logan’s intellectual play about abstract expressionist artist Mark Rothko is popular with voters and will probably take the prize. However, Geoffrey Nauffts’ gay romantic comedy, Next Fall, which transferred from Off-Broadway, is probably the best new play on Broadway this season.
Memphis – A tight race with American Idiot and Fela!, but Memphis has momentum from victories at the Drama Desk and Outer Critic Circle.
Best Revival of a Play
Fences- We look for August Wilson’s Pulitzer Prize winning classic starring Denzel Washington, which opened about a month ago, to edge out Miller’s A View from the Bridge, which closed April 4 .
Best Revival of a Musical
La Cage aux Folles- Terry Johnson’s re-envisioned revival set in a drag club on the French Rivera is a splendid delight. The brilliant revival of Ragtime closed months ago.
Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play
Viola Davis in Fences-You can bet the house on this one. Davis blows the roof off the Court Theater with her searing portrayal of Rose Troy.
Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play
Alfred Molina in Red – Clearly the most deserving, but Liev Schreiber (A View From the Bridge) won the Drama Desk and is a popular Broadway favorite, while Denzel Washington (Fences) took the Outer Critic Circle with his movie star power and charisma. Either could upset Molina, who won the Drama League Award.
Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical
Montego Glover in Memphis – She has tied twice with Catherine Zeta Jones (A Little Night Music), at the Drama Desk and Outer Critics Circle, but her powerful singing should carry her to victory at the Tony Awards. If these two split the vote the enchanting Sherie Rene Scott (Everyday Rapture) might surprise.
Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical
Douglas Hodge in La Cage aux Folles – He delivers a dazzling complex portrait, although both Chad Kimball (Memphis) and Sahr Ngaujah (Fela!) were superb.
Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play
Scarlett Johansson in A View from the Bridge – Not our choice, but probably the winner. Rosemary Harris (The Royal Family) would be our vote or even Jan Maxwell (Lend Me a Tenor). Both turned in superior performances.
Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play
Eddie Redmayne in Red– Why he is in this category at doesn’t make sense. He co-stars with Alfred Molina and that may give him the win.
Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical
Katie Finneran in Promises, Promises – She was the best thing about the weak revival of Promises and is on a roll having already won the Drama Desk.
Best Performance by a featured Actor in a Musical
Levi Kreis in Million Dollar Quartet-Kreis tears up the stage as Jerry Lee Lewis, but the sublime Kevin Chamberlin (The Addams Family) would be our choice.
Best Original Score
David Bryan (Music) & Joe DiPetro (Lyrics) Memphis – The pair have been cleaning up and we look for them to continue. Their music and lyrics are the most original on Broadway this season.
Best Book of a Musical
Everyday Rapture by Dick Scanlan and Sherie Rene Scott – We are looking for this team to pull off a big upset over Memphis. This clever little show, which moved to Broadway at the last minute, is a real sleeper and this could be a well deserved surprise.
Best Direction of a Play
Michael Grandage, Red- Grandage also helmed a marvelous Hamlet and that dual memory will carry him to the winner’s circle over Kenny Leon (Fences).
Best Direction of a Musical
Terry Johnson for La Cage aux Folles – His scaled down re-staging imported from London is dazzling.
The American Theatre Wing’s 2010 Tony Awards Will be Broadcast Live from Radio City Music Hall on CBS, Sunday, June 13th, 8:00 – 11:00 p.m.